Weekly S&P 500 predictions with 95% historical accuracy.

Reliable forecasts that hold up in bull markets, bear markets, and everything in between.

Detect major market turning points before they happen.

Our model signals when markets are changing direction – especially when traditional analysis falls short.

Markets are noisy. Our model isn't.

Cut through the headlines and hype. Focus on what truly matters: patterns, not panic.

See This Week's Forecast How the Model Works

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95% prediction accuracy

Weekly forecasts with proven historical reliability.

Market regime detection

Identifying when markets shift between structural states.

Data-driven approach

Completely emotionless and unbiased market analysis.

Active since Nov 2024 with 95% reliability. Saturday updates on this site — a day before Monday's public posts.

S&P 500 Prediction: Introduction

I enjoy playing with numbers. I studied them and currently maintain several stock portfolios. I wanted to show that data and predictions can be interesting and accessible – so as a side project, I started publishing weekly estimates of Friday closing values for the S&P 500 index.

The model I use isn't rocket science – it's mainly based on tracking trends and volatility. With 95% reliability, it tries to capture natural market movements without human intuition or headline news interference.

The first prediction was published on November 25, 2024 on X.com, and I've continued with weekly updates ever since. The model has maintained its 95% reliability target, with predictions consistently falling within the predetermined range. It has thus behaved as expected: working reliably under normal conditions and adapting when markets transition to a new regime. Beyond weekly predictions, the model provides an additional layer of information by highlighting systematic changes in market settings – these signals often appear exactly when predictions temporarily break from their expected range.